Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-13 1.729579 1.981478 2.258291 2.585226 2.961059 3.379880 3.882449
2025-07-20 1.461548 1.812564 2.230494 2.765532 3.433518 4.241597 5.295890
2025-07-27 1.240909 1.646874 2.164587 2.874992 3.827513 5.064875 6.801497
2025-08-03 1.060731 1.493945 2.080745 2.936773 4.159350 5.851235 8.385558
2025-08-10 0.882727 1.310128 1.920713 2.861104 4.281726 6.361784 9.664702
2025-08-17 0.729455 1.134404 1.741068 2.721938 4.280327 6.681007 10.699378
2025-08-24 0.636887 1.033910 1.655297 2.706091 4.455344 7.280155 12.246397
2025-08-31 0.554645 0.936468 1.558490 2.654611 4.559418 7.772180 13.683024
2025-09-07 0.517910 0.907740 1.567508 2.776816 4.966527 8.817185 16.218178
2025-09-14 0.476536 0.864694 1.545331 2.839471 5.274444 9.726761 18.642198
2025-09-21 0.429700 0.805217 1.485740 2.824609 5.435585 10.387109 20.690636
2025-09-28 0.376927 0.727691 1.383054 2.713960 5.397321 10.662098 22.017937
2025-10-05 0.356517 0.710370 1.393254 2.827588 5.823899 11.919800 25.582955
2025-10-12 0.340629 0.699875 1.415358 2.968390 6.327080 13.407188 29.885669
2025-10-19 0.320234 0.677481 1.410659 3.052844 6.724036 14.730644 34.052178
2025-10-26 0.298373 0.649078 1.389758 3.099331 7.044546 15.934408 38.147689
2025-11-02 0.267445 0.597045 1.311930 3.008727 7.042138 16.412051 40.600209
2025-11-09 0.235577 0.538820 1.213184 2.856435 6.873040 16.476134 42.041646
2025-11-16 0.216954 0.508467 1.173232 2.836533 7.018091 17.310097 45.576882
2025-11-23 0.197906 0.474736 1.121342 2.780685 7.066185 17.911950 48.605353
2025-11-30 0.192073 0.471963 1.142155 2.907786 7.597174 19.813994 55.483908
2025-12-07 0.182909 0.459842 1.138803 2.972853 7.975740 21.375165 61.685059
2025-12-14 0.170132 0.437040 1.106172 2.956914 8.134484 22.370367 66.429341